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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Roflan-ludomanBreakTheBankRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)63% (253–151, n=404)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$201K$10.6M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus65% (17 of 26 open)72% (73 of 101 open)54% (64 of 118 open)74% (14 of 19 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won65% of 595 at avg 59¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 8% of 166)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 49% of 51)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 79% of 87)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 96% of 291)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRoflan-ludomanBreakTheBankRN1primm
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4KCardinals $1.1K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Falcons $2.7KBuccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $647Bills $4.5K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KUnder $2.1K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $2.1K—Ravens $376
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.2KOver $8
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $434Under $65
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $9.2KUnder $2.8K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7.2KUnder $261
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $2.5KBills $282
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $629Cardinals $1.0K
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $93Bills $662