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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SPLPB | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 13% (273–1814, n=2087) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) |
| Consensus PnL | -$15K | -$6.6M | $11.0M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #408 | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (50 of 77 open) | no open consensus position | 91% (150 of 165 open) | 57% (27 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Entertainment −16 pts, n=87 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 23% of 1578 at avg 28¢, ROI −2% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 66% (won 3% of 1041) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 27% of 120) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 50% of 114) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 82% of 303) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.