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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SlavaUkrainiRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)73% (144–52, n=196)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$726K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #444PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus87% (20 of 23 open)56% (80 of 142 open)72% (78 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCrypto −3 pts, n=18——
Settled positions, side won72% of 225 at avg 70¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 9% of 45)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 42% of 19)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 68% of 19)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up63% (won 96% of 142)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSlavaUkrainiRN1BreakTheBank
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $320K—Yes $1.1K
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $1.9KBrowns $297K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Jets $11KRaiders $171K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $7.0K—No $35K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $43Raiders $17K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $28KBills $378K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $106K—Yes $169K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $4.3KRaiders $104K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $994—No $88K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.8K—Yes $72K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $18KBills $51K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $55K—Yes $4.1K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $38K—Yes $4.7K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $41K—No $590
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.7KRaiders $24K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K