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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UpTheBlues | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (17998–18484, n=36482) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (171 of 272 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 99% of 2645) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 7907) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 8513) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 18795) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UpTheBlues | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | Steelers $172 | Browns $255K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $1.3K | Raiders $104K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $23 | Bills $51K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $109 | Cardinals $35K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $1.2K | Raiders $24K | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Jets $8.7K | Raiders $17K | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $66 | Magic $24K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $41 | Magic $13K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $344 | Falcons $8.6K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $444 | Chiefs $3.3K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $8 | Bills $2.1K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | Bills $2.6K | Bills $378K | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | Browns $105 | Browns $297K | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $3.2K | Raiders $171K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $350 | Cardinals $3.0K | — |