← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UpTheBlues | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (17998–18484, n=36482) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (171 of 272 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 99% of 2645) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 7907) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 8513) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 18795) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UpTheBlues | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | Steelers $172 | — | Browns $255K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $1.3K | — | Raiders $104K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $23 | — | Bills $51K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $109 | — | Cardinals $35K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $1.2K | — | Raiders $24K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Jets $8.7K | — | Raiders $17K |
| Celtics vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $66 | — | Magic $24K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $41 | — | Magic $13K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $344 | — | Falcons $8.6K |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $444 | — | Chiefs $3.3K |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $8 | — | Bills $2.1K |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | Bills $2.6K | — | Bills $378K |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | Browns $105 | — | Browns $297K |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $3.2K | — | Raiders $171K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $350 | — | Cardinals $3.0K |