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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UpTheBlues | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (17998–18484, n=36482) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (129 of 209 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 63% (20 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 99% of 2645) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 7907) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 8513) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 18795) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UpTheBlues | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $2.8K | — | Chiefs $152K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $1.3K | — | Commanders $43K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $18K | — | — | Over $2.4K |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $9.0K | — | — | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7.3K | — | — | Over $382 |
| Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $6.3K | — | — | Felipe de Dios $1 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.9K | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien opposite sides · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Hugo Dellien $887 | — | — | Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira opposite sides · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca | Leonardo Storck Franca $2.6K | — | — | Jose Pereira $129 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.7K | — | — | Yes $10 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $136 | — | — | Under $213 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $36 | — | — | Under $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite same side · consensus Wilson Leite | Wilson Leite $951 | — | — | Wilson Leite $12K |
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl same side · consensus Liam Draxl | Liam Draxl $5.1K | — | — | Liam Draxl $5.2K |
| Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris same side · consensus Ozan Baris | Ozan Baris $1.2K | — | — | Ozan Baris $4.0K |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $2.0K | — | — | No $3.3K |
| Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman same side · consensus Ryan Seggerman | Ryan Seggerman $2.0K | — | — | Ryan Seggerman $294 |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Shunsuke Mitsui $1.6K | — | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $107 | — | — | Under $954 |
| Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna same side · consensus Nicolas Bruna | Nicolas Bruna $786 | — | — | Nicolas Bruna $17 |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) same side · consensus Magic | Celtics $183 | — | — | Celtics $3 |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Magic $78 | — | — | Magic $10 |