Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Valen9BreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)63% (347–206, n=553)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$235K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #639 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus64% (32 of 50 open)73% (72 of 98 open)56% (35 of 62 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −16 pts, n=16———
Settled positions, side won69% of 658 at avg 67¢, ROI +2%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 7% of 129)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 42% of 59)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 72% of 67)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up61% (won 93% of 403)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketValen9BreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $47KNo $184K——
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $69KYes $1.1K——
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.2KYes $272K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $23KYes $169K——
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16KYes $38K——
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $7.6KNo $24K——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.7KNo $22K——
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.1KNo $10K——
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.8KYes $2.2K——