← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| anciano | surfandturf | RN1 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (727–521, n=1248) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) |
| Consensus PnL | $17K | -$77K | $14.8M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #763 | was PM monthly #326 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (74 of 117 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 57% (26 of 46 open) | 68% (48 of 71 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Politics −3 pts, n=97 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 1146 at avg 57¢, ROI 0% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 6% of 321) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 52% of 165) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 62% of 152) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 93% of 508) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.