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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
anoin123CORGIIRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)50% (290–293, n=583)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$1.3M$4.5M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #18PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus52% (122 of 234 open)25% (1 of 4 open)54% (33 of 61 open)73% (72 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won92% of 480 at avg 80¢, ROI −12%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 63% of 40)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 83% of 23)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 76% of 49)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up77% (won 98% of 368)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketanoin123CORGIIRN1BreakTheBank
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $29K——No $102K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $27K——Yes $73K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $20K——No $35K
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.0K——No $24K
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $12K——No $747
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.7K——Yes $2.2K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
No $3.7K——No $411K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $99——No $184K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $228Magic $51K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.2K——Yes $38K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $161Magic $13K
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $96——No $10K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7K——Yes $4.1K