Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankLimousinRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (855–760, n=1615)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$79K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #210PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (12 of 22 open)60% (75 of 125 open)67% (139 of 209 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • NBA +46 pts n=88, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=382, ROI +32%
  • Tennis +28 pts n=28, ROI +32%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 535 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)7% (won 100% of 37)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)21% (won 100% of 112)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 100% of 88)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)56% (won 100% of 298)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankLimousinRN1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $63KNo $125Yes $20K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.2KNo $2.4KYes $96
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
——Laura Samson $15KCarole Monnet $9.0K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera
opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello
——Alice Tubello $8.3KMarina Bassols Ribera $1.9K
Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua
——Despina Papamichail $47Renata Zarazua $2.4K
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Solana Sierra
——Leyre Romero Gormaz $78Solana Sierra $1.4K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
——Gonzalo Bueno $637Eduardo Ribeiro $645
Charlottesville: Braden Shick vs Darwin Blanch
opposite sides · consensus Braden Shick
——Braden Shick $888Darwin Blanch $18
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $202No $31
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $144Over $7.9K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.1KNo $5.3K
Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Luka Pavlovic
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
——Jerome Kym $931Jerome Kym $3.6K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $259Under $4.0K
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $3.3KNo $627
Bratislava 2: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
——Zsombor Piros $2.3KZsombor Piros $296
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $11
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
——Toby Samuel $1.7KToby Samuel $434
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $443Yes $1.3K
Will FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $1.2KYes $4
Cali: Julia Grabher vs Julia Riera
same side · consensus Julia Riera
——Julia Grabher $119Julia Grabher $474
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $6Under $412
Olympiakós SFP leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $398No $3
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
——No $273No $27
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $91Under $136
Cardiff City FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——No $185No $3
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $7No $145
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
same side · consensus No
——No $29No $96
Stade Rennais FC 1901 leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $67No $12
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $6Yes $63
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
same side · consensus No
——No $9No $15
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——No $7No $2