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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpjoseph00677rayvanmechelen
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5927–5304, n=11231)53% (10–9, n=19)87% (2312–346, n=2658)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$5.6M$30K
Tracked as—PM monthly #21PM monthly #1was PM monthly #1000
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (252 of 396 open)no open consensus position66% (46 of 70 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=901, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%98% of 980 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)2% (won 95% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)32% (won 98% of 318)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)51% (won 98% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)14% (won 98% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Flaznorpjoseph00677rayvanmechelen
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $169
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Berrettini
—Matteo Berrettini $7.9K—Ugo Humbert $11
Will Al-Taawoun FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.6K—No $9
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna
—Juan Manuel La Serna $1.5K—Hernan Casanova $2
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $371
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Lakers $572—Kings $9
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
opposite sides · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $399—Mika Brunold $10
Tlaxcala FC vs. Club Atletico La Paz: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $382—Over $8
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panathinaikos
—Panathinaikos $329—Real Madrid $2
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $166—Under $3
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $32—Over $9
Longwood Lancers vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Saint Joseph's Hawks
—Saint Joseph's Hawks $17—Longwood Lancers $3
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $8—Under $10
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $42K—No $10
Villa Maria: Federico Aguilar vs Nicolas Kicker
same side · consensus Nicolas Kicker
—Nicolas Kicker $11K—Nicolas Kicker $10
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $8.4K—Over $974
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
—Alice Tubello $3.1K—Alice Tubello $10
Rolex Paris Masters (Doubles): Cerundolo/Etcheverry vs Harrison/Skupski
same side · consensus Harrison/Skupski
—Harrison/Skupski $1.9K—Harrison/Skupski $10
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.5K—Over $10
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
same side · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.4K—Gonzalo Bueno $10
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $673—Over $773
Villa Maria: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
—Joaquin Aguilar $1.1K—Joaquin Aguilar $4
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $775—Over $109
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $865—No $10
Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sydney FC
—Sydney FC $670—Sydney FC $10
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Laura Samson
—Laura Samson $596—Laura Samson $10
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $509—Over $10
Spread: Hapoel Jerusalem (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hapoel Jerusalem
—Hapoel Jerusalem $200—Hapoel Jerusalem $307
Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. PSV end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $468—No $10
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $325—Cavaliers $9
Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Luka Pavlovic
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
—Jerome Kym $318—Jerome Kym $9
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $202—Pacers $9
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Pelicans $193—Pelicans $2
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $116—Under $9
Will Barakaldo CF win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $18—No $3