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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
classifiede46m3pleaseletmealoneSineNooneEI
Record (consensus markets)26% (29–82, n=111)17% (155–759, n=914)no settled market97% (214–6, n=220)
Consensus PnL$783K$536K$880$1.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #341PM monthly #2PM monthly #426PM monthly #108
Sides with the consensus68% (19 of 28 open)74% (324 of 437 open)79% (142 of 180 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Tech ±0 pts, n=36——
Settled positions, side won—93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%——
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 11% of 46)——
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 86% of 7)——
Entries 50–70¢—1% (won 75% of 8)——
Entries 70¢ and up—90% (won 100% of 565)——

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketclassifiede46m3pleaseletmealoneSineNooneEI
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.0K—Yes $2—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $9Yes $527—
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $6Yes $314—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $108Yes $212—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $4Yes $230—
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $5Yes $209—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $10Yes $116—
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $94Yes $30—
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5Yes $65—
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $20Yes $35—
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $22Yes $21—
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $18Yes $10—
Will Backrooms be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $9Yes $3—
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $5Yes $5—
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6Yes $4—
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6Yes $2—
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5Yes $2—
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $5Yes $2—
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3Yes $2—
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4Yes $1—
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3Yes $1—