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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dabossrealmanFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)68% (1163–540, n=1703)52% (6582–6102, n=12684)47% (14184–15686, n=29870)
Consensus PnL$182K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #483PM monthly #10PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position77% (98 of 127 open)43% (12 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +34 pts n=1351, ROI +14%
  • MLB +25 pts n=72, ROI +3%
  • NHL +7 pts n=283, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won94% of 1707 at avg 65¢, ROI +6%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 65% of 75)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 88% of 289)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 96% of 593)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 98% of 750)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketdabossrealmanFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Spread: Warriors (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $4.9KWarriors $5
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $4.1KHeat $162
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $281Ipek Oz $698
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $7.5KWarriors $380
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $4.4KWarriors $93
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KUnder $453
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.7KUnder $384
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $1.9KWarriors $85
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42