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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankdabossrealmanFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)68% (1152–536, n=1688)52% (6455–6056, n=12511)48% (14165–15642, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$182K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #487PM monthly #11PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)no open consensus position72% (129 of 178 open)50% (16 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +34 pts n=1351, ROI +14%
  • MLB +25 pts n=72, ROI +3%
  • NHL +7 pts n=283, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 1707 at avg 65¢, ROI +6%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 65% of 75)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)17% (won 88% of 289)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)35% (won 96% of 593)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 98% of 750)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankdabossrealmanFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.3KOver $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $354Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jerome Kym
opposite sides · consensus Jerome Kym
——Nishesh Basavareddy $71Jerome Kym $1.9K
Will Lamphun Warriors FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.8KYes $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $466No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
——Diletta Cherubini $291Ipek Oz $680
Will PFK Dinamo Samarqand win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $757Yes $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $312No $12
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
——Alexandra Eala $28KAlexandra Eala $48K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
same side · consensus Ben Shelton
——Ben Shelton $8.5KBen Shelton $25K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
——Mai Hontama $5.6KMai Hontama $6.6K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
——Noma Noha Akugue $640Noma Noha Akugue $71
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $42