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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
denizzRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Record (consensus markets)79% (307–84, n=391)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$2.4M$13.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #569 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus85% (23 of 27 open)65% (99 of 152 open)no open consensus position59% (19 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won71% of 618 at avg 65¢, ROI +7%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 5% of 128)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 49% of 51)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 69% of 71)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 97% of 368)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketdenizzRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $1.8K—Buccaneers $4.9K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $847—Bills $4.5K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.7K—Under $990
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $591—Buccaneers $2.0K
Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $321—Buccaneers $2.0K
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Under $1.2K
Spread: Raiders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $2.1K—Raiders $138
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $935—Under $65
Spread: Steelers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $211—Browns $471
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.9K—Under $2.8K
Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
—Buccaneers $1.3K—Buccaneers $1.6K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.1K—Over $1.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $1.8K—Jaguars $4
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $90—Buccaneers $1.5K
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 56.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $271—Under $828
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $546—Over $2