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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ghorrock | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (8489–7010, n=15499) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 62% (395–247, n=642) |
| Consensus PnL | -$15K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #509 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (190 of 280 open) | 89% (141 of 159 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 2127 at avg 72¢, ROI +10% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 85% of 95) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 100% of 373) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 100% of 414) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 100% of 1245) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.