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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ghorrockBreakTheBankRN10x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Record (consensus markets)55% (8489–7010, n=15499)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13853–15337, n=29190)41% (1101–1609, n=2710)
Consensus PnL-$15K$10.6M$13.4M$2.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #509PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #410
Sides with the consensus68% (191 of 282 open)89% (141 of 159 open)100% (2 of 2 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 2127 at avg 72¢, ROI +10%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢4% (won 85% of 95)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)—
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 100% of 373)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)—
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 100% of 414)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)—
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 1245)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketghorrockBreakTheBankRN10x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $98Yes $274K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $69Yes $67K——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1KYes $33K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.6KYes $18K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $76Yes $18K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $116Yes $7.9K——
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $246——Yes $2.0K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $225Yes $22K——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $296Yes $15K——
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $63Yes $14K——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $26Yes $2.6K——
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2Yes $1.3K——
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $84——Yes $368
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6Yes $230——