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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677primmRN1Robbb
Record (consensus markets)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1244–1255, n=2499)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)83% (2411–480, n=2891)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.6M$14.8M$95K
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #56PM monthly #34 + pinnedwas PM monthly #996
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (15 of 20 open)57% (56 of 99 open)80% (86 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———College Football −23 pts, n=36
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%83% of 1863 at avg 78¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 10% of 139)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)6% (won 34% of 116)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)12% (won 68% of 220)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)75% (won 96% of 1388)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677primmRN1Robbb
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $5.1KCowboys $1.6K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.3KUnder $901—
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $843—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.2KOver $333—
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Eagles $95Giants $2.9K—
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $13Rams $1.0K—
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $247Rams $52—
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $47KLions $2.0K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KUnder $4.2K—
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
—Eagles $143Eagles $2.8K—
Browns vs. Saints
same side · consensus Saints
—Browns $88Browns $2.4K—
Giants vs. Eagles
same side · consensus Eagles
—Eagles $951Eagles $1.1K—
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $3—