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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| obakobakk | BreakTheBank | CORGII | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (142–82, n=224) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (395–248, n=643) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4K | $11.0M | $194K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 91% (150 of 165 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (49 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Esports −1 pts, n=59 | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 203 at avg 59¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 8% of 59) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 36% of 14) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 61% of 33) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 48% (won 99% of 97) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.