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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pagliacci4primmRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)96% (1650–75, n=1725)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$11K$3.6M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #959PM monthly #49PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus96% (24 of 25 open)54% (21 of 39 open)56% (87 of 156 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketpagliacci4primmRN1S-Works
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $1.8KLions $47KLions $2.2K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $5.7KCowboys $4.9K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.8KOver $1.6K—
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $133Rams $6.3K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K—
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $1.2KLions $4.2K—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $1.9K—
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.0KOver $99—
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $84Over $4.9K—
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $50Browns $3.5K—
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Lions $2.0KDolphins $1.6K—
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $958Browns $1.8K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $94Cowboys $1.9K—
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $267Lions $787—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.3KUnder $5.7K—
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.0K—No $5.9K—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
—Eagles $3.4KEagles $1.4K—
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
—Eagles $195Eagles $3.2K—
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.9K—Yes $1.4K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $924Over $889—
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $3—
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $745Commanders $579—
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Saints $16Saints $1.1K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $14—