Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
rebotsliafbeachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)24% (143–463, n=606)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$82K$5.8M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #845was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus59% (19 of 32 open)100% (1 of 1 open)73% (72 of 98 open)52% (32 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=192NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won26% of 567 at avg 24¢, ROI +1%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢61% (won 6% of 348)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 50% of 125)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 56% of 62)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 94% of 32)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketrebotsliafbeachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3K—Yes $169K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $21K—Yes $37K—
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $633—No $40K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.2K—No $35K—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $436—Yes $4.7K—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25K—Yes $272K—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $4—No $184K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $51KMagic $228
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.0K—Yes $16K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $13KMagic $161
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $2.3K—No $590—