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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sciuboiCORGIIBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (157–155, n=312)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$245K$4.5M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #455PM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (6 of 8 open)0% (0 of 4 open)72% (78 of 108 open)56% (81 of 145 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won55% of 332 at avg 50¢, ROI +1%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 3% of 125)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 52% of 29)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 84% of 50)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 95% of 128)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketsciuboiCORGIIBreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Browns $297KSteelers $1.9K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $66K—No $184K—
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $171KJets $11K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $10K—Yes $77K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Raiders $17KJets $43
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $378KBills $28K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $104KRaiders $4.3K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
——Bills $51KBills $18K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $51KMagic $228
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $24KRaiders $2.7K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $13KMagic $161