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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
takeormakeBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Record (consensus markets)55% (2310–1925, n=4235)45% (526–640, n=1166)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$986K$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #25PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus55% (38 of 69 open)71% (73 of 103 open)no open consensus position61% (19 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 33% of 220)10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 84% of 413)36% (won 98% of 192)26% (won 93% of 29)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 96% of 918)35% (won 99% of 187)42% (won 96% of 47)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 98% of 506)20% (won 100% of 107)24% (won 96% of 27)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettakeormakeBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $5.3KBills $51K—Ravens $696
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.4KBills $2.1K—Ravens $376
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Steelers $5.1KBrowns $255K——
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Colts $31Jaguars $20K——
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.3K——Bills $4.5K
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Falcons $633——Buccaneers $4.9K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $51——Under $2.8K
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.6K——Bills $988
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $951Yes $193——
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $46——Under $809
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3——Under $575
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Bills $125——Ravens $295
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $43——Under $65
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $11KRaiders $104K——
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $11KRaiders $24K——
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $1Cardinals $35K——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $48——Over $1.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $268——Jaguars $4