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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
zxdfbdfgngcxvbeachboy4RN1primm
Record (consensus markets)85% (1256–228, n=1484)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$72K$5.8M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #851 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus89% (47 of 53 open)100% (1 of 1 open)66% (100 of 152 open)59% (19 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicElections −5 pts, n=70NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won81% of 1826 at avg 79¢, ROI +1%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 9% of 243)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 49% of 87)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 56% of 108)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 97% of 1388)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketzxdfbdfgngcxvbeachboy4RN1primm
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Falcons $1.8KBuccaneers $4.9K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $847Bills $4.5K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.7KUnder $990
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Falcons $591Buccaneers $2.0K
Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
——Falcons $321Buccaneers $2.0K
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.0KUnder $1.2K
Spread: Raiders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Jets $2.1KRaiders $138
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $935Under $65
Spread: Steelers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
——Steelers $211Browns $471
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $6.9KUnder $2.8K
Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
——Buccaneers $1.3KBuccaneers $1.6K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.2KOver $1.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Jaguars $1.8KJaguars $4
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $90Buccaneers $1.5K
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 56.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $271Under $828
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $546Over $2