Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Up 35%
$2.2K
-$368.49
Smart Money Signal
8 of 19 top traders (42%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 74.7¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$73.04 | 56% 14907-11713 (26620) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $733.35 | $740.76 | +$7.41 | 93% 24266-1810 (26076) |
TM tmsd-testCTR | Downavg 51¢ | $141.27 | — | -$141.27 | 54% 14575-12419 (26994) |
RL RLWGCTR | Downavg 47.4¢ | $154.45 | — | -$154.45 | 50% 7972-8009 (15981) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 78.7¢ | $61.84 | $72 | +$10.16 | 56% 58613-45263 (103876) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $62.75 | — | -$62.75 | 64% 40618-23301 (63919) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 83.8¢ | $50.31 | $39.29 | -$11.02 | 66% 127066-65377 (192443) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $36.3 | — | -$36.3 | 55% 18348-14925 (33273) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 51.3¢ | $25.25 | — | -$25.25 | 65% 126412-67571 (193983) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $20 | — | -$20 | 73% 95064-35693 (130757) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $12.26 | $12.51 | +$0.25 | 64% 24825-13713 (38538) |
GO GoodRecipient<$100 | Upavg 40.5¢ | $7.48 | $18.45 | +$10.97 | 43% 655-854 (1509) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $9.45 | — | -$9.45 | 61% 96010-60519 (156529) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $5.3 | — | -$5.3 | 55% 45979-38324 (84303) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $3.72 | — | -$3.72 | 52% 91284-85731 (177015) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $0.9 | — | -$0.9 | 64% 58887-33445 (92332) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $0.12 | $0.26 | +$0.14 | 58% 38470-27559 (66029) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 65% 112549-59391 (171940) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20362-19448 (39810) |
Invested
$1,261.55
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$73.04
Record
56%
14907-11713 (26620)
Invested
$733.35
Value
$740.76
PnL
+$7.41
Record
93%
24266-1810 (26076)
Invested
$141.27
Value
—
PnL
-$141.27
Record
54%
14575-12419 (26994)
Invested
$154.45
Value
—
PnL
-$154.45
Record
50%
7972-8009 (15981)
Invested
$61.84
Value
$72
PnL
+$10.16
Record
56%
58613-45263 (103876)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$62.75
Value
—
PnL
-$62.75
Record
64%
40618-23301 (63919)
Invested
$50.31
Value
$39.29
PnL
-$11.02
Record
66%
127066-65377 (192443)
Invested
$36.3
Value
—
PnL
-$36.3
Record
55%
18348-14925 (33273)
Invested
$25.25
Value
—
PnL
-$25.25
Record
65%
126412-67571 (193983)
Invested
$20
Value
—
PnL
-$20
Record
73%
95064-35693 (130757)
Invested
$12.26
Value
$12.51
PnL
+$0.25
Record
64%
24825-13713 (38538)
Invested
$7.48
Value
$18.45
PnL
+$10.97
Record
43%
655-854 (1509)
Invested
$9.45
Value
—
PnL
-$9.45
Record
61%
96010-60519 (156529)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.3
Value
—
PnL
-$5.3
Record
55%
45979-38324 (84303)
Invested
$3.72
Value
—
PnL
-$3.72
Record
52%
91284-85731 (177015)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$0.9
Value
—
PnL
-$0.9
Record
64%
58887-33445 (92332)
Invested
$0.12
Value
$0.26
PnL
+$0.14
Record
58%
38470-27559 (66029)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
65%
112549-59391 (171940)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20362-19448 (39810)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up — $1.3K
hoodquant
Up — $740.76
tmsd-test
CTRDown — $0
RLWG
CTRDown — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $72
ohioism
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $39.29
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRDown — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRDown — $0
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
CTRDown — $0