Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Down 80%
$4.1K
$409.61
Smart Money Signal
17 of 21 top traders (81%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 79.4¢ | $1.7K | $1.8K | +$146.87 | 56% 14924-11728 (26652) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 66.8¢ | $677.34 | $766.56 | +$89.21 | 50% 5585-5650 (11235) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 88.3¢ | $297.58 | $260.85 | -$32.83 | 55% 7793-6374 (14167) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 72.5¢ | $127.7 | $175.56 | +$47.86 | 55% 8967-7399 (16366) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 60.5¢ | $215.96 | $356.98 | +$141.02 | 58% 38498-27579 (66077) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 90¢ | $113 | $125.53 | +$12.53 | 74% 103044-36553 (139597) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 74.2¢ | $61 | $82.26 | +$21.26 | 55% 18379-14972 (33351) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 62.8¢ | $103.41 | $132 | +$28.59 | 35% 19121-36132 (55253) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 70.1¢ | $67.11 | $78.46 | +$11.35 | 60% 12586-8357 (20943) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 64.3¢ | $51.07 | $70 | +$18.93 | 58% 61090-44611 (105701) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 67.8¢ | $55 | $59.99 | +$4.99 | 64% 24882-13745 (38627) |
SF sfkjbsr457CTR<$100 | Upavg 31¢ | $72.08 | — | -$72.08 | 54% 8332-7022 (15354) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 59.7¢ | $46.32 | $55 | +$8.68 | 62% 44284-27268 (71552) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 8.6¢ | $41.68 | — | -$41.68 | 46% 38677-45770 (84447) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 75.2¢ | $38.03 | $44.89 | +$6.86 | 65% 4332-2383 (6715) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 45.6¢ | $14.21 | $31.15 | +$16.94 | 65% 112572-59423 (171995) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $31.45 | $58.26 | +$26.82 | 59% 7083-4987 (12070) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $10.11 | $17.43 | +$7.32 | 55% 24178-19509 (43687) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.8¢ | $26.1 | — | -$26.1 | 51% 20375-19462 (39837) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.4¢ | $6.95 | — | -$6.95 | 64% 40639-23326 (63965) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3698-2861 (6559) |
Invested
$1,664.19
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$146.87
Record
56%
14924-11728 (26652)
Invested
$677.34
Value
$766.56
PnL
+$89.21
Record
50%
5585-5650 (11235)
Invested
$297.58
Value
$260.85
PnL
-$32.83
Record
55%
7793-6374 (14167)
machinelearnedInvested
$127.7
Value
$175.56
PnL
+$47.86
Record
55%
8967-7399 (16366)
Invested
$215.96
Value
$356.98
PnL
+$141.02
Record
58%
38498-27579 (66077)
BoneOhioInvested
$113
Value
$125.53
PnL
+$12.53
Record
74%
103044-36553 (139597)
Invested
$61
Value
$82.26
PnL
+$21.26
Record
55%
18379-14972 (33351)
Invested
$103.41
Value
$132
PnL
+$28.59
Record
35%
19121-36132 (55253)
Invested
$67.11
Value
$78.46
PnL
+$11.35
Record
60%
12586-8357 (20943)
Invested
$51.07
Value
$70
PnL
+$18.93
Record
58%
61090-44611 (105701)
Invested
$55
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$4.99
Record
64%
24882-13745 (38627)
Invested
$72.08
Value
—
PnL
-$72.08
Record
54%
8332-7022 (15354)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$46.32
Value
$55
PnL
+$8.68
Record
62%
44284-27268 (71552)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$41.68
Value
—
PnL
-$41.68
Record
46%
38677-45770 (84447)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$38.03
Value
$44.89
PnL
+$6.86
Record
65%
4332-2383 (6715)
Invested
$14.21
Value
$31.15
PnL
+$16.94
Record
65%
112572-59423 (171995)
Invested
$31.45
Value
$58.26
PnL
+$26.82
Record
59%
7083-4987 (12070)
Invested
$10.11
Value
$17.43
PnL
+$7.32
Record
55%
24178-19509 (43687)
Invested
$26.1
Value
—
PnL
-$26.1
Record
51%
20375-19462 (39837)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$6.95
Value
—
PnL
-$6.95
Record
64%
40639-23326 (63965)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3698-2861 (6559)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Down — $1.8K
ply-pm0
Down — $766.56
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $260.85
machinelearned
Down — $175.56
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $356.98
BoneOhio
Down — $125.53
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $82.26
Little-big
Down — $132
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $78.46
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $70