Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?

Resolved No. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

No 73%

Total Value

$32.0K

Combined PnL

$997.27

Smart Money Signal

23 of 31 top traders (74%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No23 traders

Total Value$32.0K

Total Shares32,037

Combined PnL+$5.9K

Yes8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares16,360

Combined PnL$-4.9K

No — 74%Yes — 26%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL Flaznorp	Noavg 74.9¢	$12.1K	$15.8K	+$3.7K	51% 25776-24479 (50255)
oieshfn345	Noavg 80.6¢	$7.4K	$6.2K	+$938.68	57% 2032-1505 (3537)
XW xwingboy	Noavg 83¢	$2.0K	$2.4K	+$409.64	66% 336-175 (511)
GC GC-P	Noavg 82.8¢	$1.2K	$1.3K	+$49.12	64% 9970-5599 (15569)
NM NM-P	Noavg 83.2¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	+$24.71	64% 9929-5531 (15460)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh	Noavg 63.6¢	$828.26	$1.2K	+$408.18	46% 1544-1820 (3364)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080	Noavg 83.7¢	$514.33	$614.46	+$100.12	51% 1905-1854 (3759)
RN1	Noavg 88.7¢	$596.24	$574.31	-$21.92	53% 61386-53697 (115083)
CA Cannae	Noavg 83¢	$607.02	$521.45	-$85.57	53% 16809-14937 (31746)
TO topdogbigboi	Noavg 93.5¢	$374	$400	+$26	47% 11740-13459 (25199)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Noavg 75.2¢	$328.51	$379.16	+$50.65	52% 14506-13188 (27694)
LI Lilybaeum	Noavg 79.6¢	$316.55	$358.45	+$41.9	61% 14368-9297 (23665)
RA rabbitfoot1CTR	Yesavg 33.1¢	$4.0K	—	$-4.0K	54% 1222-1042 (2264)
PT PT-S7	Noavg 80.4¢	$565.55	$307.7	+$74.39	49% 3218-3391 (6609)
WA WagerWizard	Noavg 69.2¢	$154.5	$223.36	+$68.87	84% 14866-2869 (17735)
PA Pan9X	Noavg 80.1¢	$425.46	$142.23	+$14.13	54% 9742-8135 (17877)
OM omnibus-076daa	Noavg 85.6¢	$106	$123.78	+$17.78	50% 21199-21466 (42665)
SE sentrio	Noavg 83.9¢	$91.89	$109.54	+$19.79	50% 25837-25546 (51383)
DI dips.<$100	Noavg 97.1¢	$70.92	$73	+$2.08	47% 10635-12160 (22795)
LI LightParadoxCTR	Yesavg 18.5¢	$401.36	—	-$401.36	52% 1388-1305 (2693)
VE VenusianCTR	Yesavg 20.3¢	$206.47	—	-$206.47	51% 1392-1360 (2752)
38 38791873984189	Noavg 78.7¢	$2.0K	$20.15	-$0.29	48% 61202-65999 (127201)
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Noavg 27.1¢	$4.6	$16.97	+$12.37	34% 19214-36845 (56059)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100	Noavg 49¢	$7.35	$15	+$7.94	65% 5280-2897 (8177)
LI LimousinCTR	Yesavg 31.4¢	$166.14	—	-$166.14	53% 1439-1280 (2719)

Flaznorp

Invested

$12,091.85

Value

$15.8K

PnL

+$3.7K

Record

51%

25776-24479 (50255)

oieshfn345

Invested

$7,397.02

Value

$6.2K

PnL

+$938.68

Record

57%

2032-1505 (3537)

xwingboy

Invested

$2,000

Value

$2.4K

PnL

+$409.64

Record

66%

336-175 (511)

GC-P

Invested

$1,223.76

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$49.12

Record

64%

9970-5599 (15569)

NM-P

Invested

$1,210.52

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$24.71

Record

64%

9929-5531 (15460)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Invested

$828.26

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$408.18

Record

46%

1544-1820 (3364)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080

Invested

$514.33

Value

$614.46

PnL

+$100.12

Record

51%

1905-1854 (3759)

RN1

Invested

$596.24

Value

$574.31

PnL

-$21.92

Record

53%

61386-53697 (115083)

Cannae

Invested

$607.02

Value

$521.45

PnL

-$85.57

Record

53%

16809-14937 (31746)

topdogbigboi

Invested

$374

Value

$400

PnL

+$26

Record

47%

11740-13459 (25199)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Invested

$328.51

Value

$379.16

PnL

+$50.65

Record

52%

14506-13188 (27694)

Lilybaeum

Invested

$316.55

Value

$358.45

PnL

+$41.9

Record

61%

14368-9297 (23665)

rabbitfoot1CTR

Yes

Invested

$3,968.09

Value

—

PnL

$-4.0K

Record

54%

1222-1042 (2264)

PT-S7

Invested

$565.55

Value

$307.7

PnL

+$74.39

Record

49%

3218-3391 (6609)

WagerWizard

Invested

$154.5

Value

$223.36

PnL

+$68.87

Record

84%

14866-2869 (17735)

Pan9X

Invested

$425.46

Value

$142.23

PnL

+$14.13

Record

54%

9742-8135 (17877)

omnibus-076daa

Invested

$106

Value

$123.78

PnL

+$17.78

Record

50%

21199-21466 (42665)

sentrio

Invested

$91.89

Value

$109.54

PnL

+$19.79

Record

50%

25837-25546 (51383)

dips.<$100

Invested

$70.92

Value

$73

PnL

+$2.08

Record

47%

10635-12160 (22795)

LightParadoxCTR

Yes

Invested

$401.36

Value

—

PnL

-$401.36

Record

52%

1388-1305 (2693)

VenusianCTR

Yes

Invested

$206.47

Value

—

PnL

-$206.47

Record

51%

1392-1360 (2752)

38791873984189

Invested

$2,010.11

Value

$20.15

PnL

-$0.29

Record

48%

61202-65999 (127201)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Invested

$4.6

Value

$16.97

PnL

+$12.37

Record

34%

19214-36845 (56059)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100

Invested

$7.35

Value

$15

PnL

+$7.94

Record

65%

5280-2897 (8177)

LimousinCTR

Yes

Invested

$166.14

Value

—

PnL

-$166.14

Record

53%

1439-1280 (2719)

Smart Money Signal

23 of 31 top traders (74%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x6355a596...d92291

Slug

uel-lev-olm-2026-11-05-draw

Traders in this Market

Flaznorp

No — $15.8K

+$3.7K

oieshfn345

No — $6.2K

+$938.68

xwingboy

No — $2.4K

+$409.64

GC-P

No — $1.3K

+$49.12

NM-P

No — $1.2K

+$24.71

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

No — $1.2K

+$408.18

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080

No — $614.46

+$100.12

RN1

No — $574.31

-$21.92

Cannae

No — $521.45

-$85.57

topdogbigboi

No — $400

+$26

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