← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | Bigggggggg | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 41% (1388–2017, n=3405) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $559K | $9.4M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 85% (881 of 1042 open) | 55% (12 of 22 open) | 60% (108 of 180 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Economy −5 pts, n=109 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 66% of 3822 at avg 64¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 30% (won 7% of 1163) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 5% (won 43% of 182) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 5% (won 68% of 179) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 60% (won 97% of 2298) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.