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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872ndb1primmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)66% (3087–1602, n=4689)63% (989–572, n=1561)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)50% (20849–20545, n=41394)
Consensus PnL$212K$3.2M$3.6M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #528PM monthly #104PM monthly #46PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus73% (11 of 15 open)72% (69 of 96 open)no open consensus position70% (30 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won100% of 1734 at avg 76¢, ROI +25%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 58)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 100% of 159)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 361)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 100% of 1156)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872ndb1primmUpTheBlues
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $393——Athletic Club $218
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $89——Over $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K——Under $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.5K——Under $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2K——No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.7K——Under $1.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12——Yes $3.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $8——No $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Under $595
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $439——Under $945
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Athletic Club $775——Athletic Club $354
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $468——Yes $154
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $57——Yes $71
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 2 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
No $46——No $3