Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpojg
Record (consensus markets)50% (70–71, n=141)56% (20–16, n=36)75% (841–277, n=1118)90% (69–8, n=77)
Consensus PnL-$330K$822K$110K$8.2K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #1PM monthly #13PM monthly #569
Sides with the consensus54% (13 of 24 open)47% (7 of 15 open)75% (186 of 248 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%52% of 214 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%100% of 54 at avg 84¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)0%31% (won 9% of 66)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)57% (won 100% of 13)26% (won 45% of 56)6% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)39% (won 100% of 9)14% (won 69% of 29)15% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)4% (won 100% of 1)29% (won 97% of 63)80% (won 100% of 43)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpojg
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
Pacers $317Pacers $13KPacers $266—
Wizards vs. Pacers
same side · consensus Pacers
Pacers $4.6KPacers $3.3K—Pacers $914
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
Josh Hokit $227KCiryl Gane $323K——
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $8.3K—Knicks $199—
Nets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Nets $1.9KPelicans $1.5K—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $554—Over $177—
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $23—Knicks $14—
Celtics vs. Raptors
same side · consensus Celtics
Raptors $5.6KRaptors $29K——
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
same side · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $20K——Cavaliers $488
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Raptors $11K—Raptors $193—
Charleston Cougars vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Charleston Cougars
——Charleston Cougars $4.4KCharleston Cougars $1.9K
Counter-Strike: 9INE Academy vs Teletubisie (BO3) - United21 Group A
same side · consensus Teletubisie
Teletubisie $5.3K—Teletubisie $398—
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $3.7K—Cavaliers $816—
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $1.3KGrizzlies $185—
Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $514Nets $3—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $143—Under $323—
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $123—Knicks $172—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $95—Vikings $6—
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $4Grizzlies $74—