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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpojg
Record (consensus markets)49% (69–71, n=140)56% (20–16, n=36)76% (821–266, n=1087)89% (68–8, n=76)
Consensus PnL-$392K$822K$128K$7.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #1PM monthly #13PM monthly #591
Sides with the consensus23% (3 of 13 open)40% (2 of 5 open)70% (130 of 185 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%52% of 214 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%100% of 54 at avg 84¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)0%31% (won 9% of 66)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)57% (won 100% of 13)26% (won 45% of 56)6% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)39% (won 100% of 9)14% (won 69% of 29)15% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)4% (won 100% of 1)29% (won 97% of 63)80% (won 100% of 43)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpojg
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
Karolina Muchova $178K—Karolina Muchova $25KElina Svitolina $5.7K
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
Josh Hokit $227KCiryl Gane $323K——
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
opposite sides · consensus Mattia Bellucci
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg $10K—Mattia Bellucci $4.2K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $8.9K—Knicks $187—
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Mirra Andreeva
Aryna Sabalenka $21K—Aryna Sabalenka $2.4K—
Dota 2: Time to Sleep vs CyberHero (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B
same side · consensus Time to Sleep
CyberHero $5.4K—CyberHero $643—
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $3.9K—Cavaliers $660—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $95—Vikings $6—