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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4535–3309, n=7844) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 39% (3364–5155, n=8519) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.0M | $7.9M | -$465K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #253 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (17 of 26 open) | 78% (28 of 36 open) | 66% (458 of 697 open) | 56% (44 of 79 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $43K | Ravens $265K | — | Jaguars $17K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $26K | Ravens $175K | — | Jaguars $1.5K |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $266 | Warriors $3.5K | — | Warriors $510 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $15K | Ravens $287 | — | Ravens $2.8K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | No $70 | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $407K | Yes $344 | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $75K | No $3.7K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $50K | — | — |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $13K | — | Yes $254 | — |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $13K | No $372 | — |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $12K | Yes $8 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $601 | — | Jaguars $3.2K |
| Spread: UTSA (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic | UTSA $1.8K | — | — | Florida Atlantic $736 |
| Spread: Suns (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $500 | — | — | Suns $1.6K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $1.3K | — | Jaguars $174 |
| Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $868 | — | No $171 | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $63 | — | No $946 | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $68K | — | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $25K | Yes $15 | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $16K | Yes $25 | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.3K | Yes $120 | — |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | — | Yes $195 | — |
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.2K | — | Yes $101 | — |