← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (41–47, n=88) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 67% (355–171, n=526) |
| Consensus PnL | -$411K | $779K | $245K | -$102K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #83 | PM monthly #41 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (14 of 27 open) | 54% (7 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (66 of 110 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $2.6K | Celtics $20K | — | 76ers $202 |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $20K | Ciryl Gane $47K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $6.2K | — | — | Knicks $674 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Bucks $761 | — | — | Knicks $4.0K |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Celtics $595 | — | 76ers $377 |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green | Kent State $203 | — | — | Bowling Green $396 |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $2 | Celtics $199 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $32K | Celtics $129K | — | — |
| Knoxville: Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski same side · consensus Marcos Giron | Marcos Giron $13K | — | — | Marcos Giron $13K |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $19K | — | — | Over $7 |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $11K | — | — | Bucks $158 |
| Spread: Knicks (-17.5) same side · consensus Knicks | Knicks $2.0K | — | — | Knicks $798 |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Ohio | Miami (OH) $50 | — | — | Miami (OH) $2.3K |