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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3325, n=7861) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 50% (15546–15616, n=31162) | 48% (14146–15606, n=29752) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $3.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #139 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (14 of 22 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 53% (87 of 164 open) | 63% (30 of 48 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 92% of 11407 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 8% (won 61% of 889) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 21% (won 87% of 2410) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 38% (won 95% of 4354) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 99% of 3754) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | No $2.3K | Yes $184 | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $34K | — | — |
| Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal opposite sides · consensus Sumit Nagal | — | — | Kilian Feldbausch $268 | Sumit Nagal $4.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.6K | Over $1.6K |
| Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $2 | No $2.0K |
| Will FC UTA Arad win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.4K | Yes $229 |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | — | Spurs $1.4K | Kings $111 |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz | — | — | Diletta Cherubini $8 | Ipek Oz $680 |
| Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato opposite sides · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato | — | — | Francesco Maestrelli $36 | Carlo Alberto Caniato $304 |
| Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo | — | — | Aidan Mayo $48 | Max Hans Rehberg $232 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $53K | — | Yes $2.4K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $31 | No $53K | — | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $25K | Yes $131 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata same side · consensus Luca Van Assche | Luca Van Assche $20K | — | Luca Van Assche $702 | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $18K | Yes $258 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $13K | — | Over $37 | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.6K | Yes $71 | — |
| Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.7K | Under $2 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.0K | Yes $59 | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $55 | — | Yes $242 | — |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $28 | Yes $41 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $28 | — | Yes $26 | — |