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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CornerGamingFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)36% (8–14, n=22)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$7.8M-$28K$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #54was PM monthly #611PM monthly #21PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)no open consensus position74% (238 of 323 open)57% (88 of 154 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%100% of 4 at avg 48¢, ROI +45%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)0%29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)25% (won 100% of 1)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)75% (won 100% of 3)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)0%39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

61 on the same side, 48 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CornerGamingFlaznorpRN1
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $128K—Yes $28KNo $11K
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Jan-Lennard Struff $2.7K—Casper Ruud $8.2KCasper Ruud $6.6K
Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans
opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Kimmer Coppejans $81—Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $3.5KNicolai Budkov Kjaer $6.8K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200K—Yes $41KYes $18K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $93K—No $49KNo $27K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44K—No $47KNo $20K
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $38—No $3.1KNo $164
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $17—PFK CSKA Sofia $1.8KPFK CSKA Sofia $56
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
KKS Lech Poznań $60K——Sport Lisboa e Benfica $14K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $13K—Under $3.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.5K
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
——Daniel Milavsky $173Max Hans Rehberg $6.6K
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
——Olympique de Marseille $6.5KBayer 04 Leverkusen $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.3K——Under $9
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.6KUnder $549
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.7KUnder $18
SC União Torreense vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.4KUnder $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $2.0KNo $353
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.5KNo $803
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2.0KNo $170
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KOver $520
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.0KYes $12
Spread: FC København (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SK Iberia 1999
——FC København $987SK Iberia 1999 $952
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $742Yes $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.5KYes $44
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.4KYes $120
Juventus FC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $853Yes $677
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KOver $6
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.5KYes $10
Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
——FC Lugano $1.5KFK Kauno Žalgiris $2
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $645Over $675
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.2KYes $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $673Yes $174
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $530—Over $211—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $600No $27
M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
opposite sides · consensus Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
——Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez $551Jesse Flores $16
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $82Yes $377
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $358Over $67
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller
——Elmer Moeller $387Joao Lucas Da Silva $25
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
——Julio Cesar Porras $60Ivan Gakhov $238
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $218——Yes $10
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $189Over $25
W50 Huamantla: Victoria Rodriguez vs Maria Sholokhova
opposite sides · consensus Maria Sholokhova
——Maria Sholokhova $5Victoria Rodriguez $173
W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek
——Anna Siskova $60Isis Louise Van den Broek $72