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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnehcnehc
Record (consensus markets)47% (62–70, n=132)75% (741–246, n=987)55% (201–167, n=368)58% (21–15, n=36)
Consensus PnL-$493K$70K$227K$9.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #14PM monthly #8PM monthly #494
Sides with the consensus17% (1 of 6 open)67% (80 of 120 open)67% (41 of 61 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%—
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)1% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)32% (won 100% of 31)—
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)57% (won 100% of 55)—
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)10% (won 100% of 10)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnehcnehc
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $93Vikings $6Vikings $1.9K—
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
opposite sides · consensus Tiago Pereira
Kilian Feldbausch $78KTiago Pereira $2.6K——
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Magic $58K—Jazz $960—
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $10Bucks $3.2K—
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $65Under $1.0K—
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $190Celtics $399—
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan Wolverines
—Marquette Golden Eagles $13Michigan Wolverines $516—
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $123Rockets $82—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $21Under $5.2K—
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $83Under $2.7K—
Warriors vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $1.4KRockets $838—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $542Seahawks $1.5K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $367Bucks $1.5K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $165Falcons $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $218Cavaliers $915—
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $17Over $430—
Spread: Kansas City Roos (-8.5)
same side · consensus Florida A&M Rattlers
—Kansas City Roos $100Kansas City Roos $261—
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $201Raptors $19—
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3Rockets $56—