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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpMadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)49% (955–1002, n=1957)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$26K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #22PM monthly #515PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus59% (16 of 27 open)76% (193 of 254 open)46% (83 of 182 open)65% (96 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 100% of 26)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)17% (won 100% of 85)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)19% (won 100% of 94)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)59% (won 100% of 296)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

86 on the same side, 94 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpMadridTimeRN1
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $206KYes $41KNo $1.5KYes $19K
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $21KNo $32KNo $2.4KNo $14K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $12KUnder $3.2KOver $116Under $6
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $49No $403Yes $596No $79
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43KNo $47KNo $1.6KNo $20K
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $38No $2.7KNo $145No $166
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $25KNo $2.3KYes $13K
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12KOver $7Under $19K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $11KUnder $934Over $8.1K
Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans
opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Kimmer Coppejans $11—Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $11KNicolai Budkov Kjaer $8.4K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.6KOver $4.9KUnder $11K
Will FC København win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.8KNo $32Yes $3.9K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7.4KOver $278Under $3.0K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.5KOver $6Over $4
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Olympique de Marseille $6.9KOlympique de Marseille $371Bayer 04 Leverkusen $10
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KOver $9Over $4.5K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.6K—Under $103Under $8
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.3KOver $22Under $191
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.3KNo $188Yes $574
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.0KNo $1.7KNo $1.3K
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
—KKS Lech Poznań $3.5KSport Lisboa e Benfica $941KKS Lech Poznań $51
Will FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.4KYes $357No $801
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.7KUnder $19Under $414
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.9KUnder $15Under $57
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.8KOver $31Under $56
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.9KYes $3No $799
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KOver $507Under $251
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $914Yes $63
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.9KYes $49Yes $6
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7KNo $88Yes $3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $178Over $333Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $94No $1.4KYes $186
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $652Over $137Over $185
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $600No $11No $300
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $432Over $145Over $5
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $227Under $63Over $234
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $204—No $63Yes $12
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $100No $67Yes $15
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $93KNo $50K—No $27K
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $3.4KBianca Andreescu $2.7KBianca Andreescu $5.8K
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.7KNo $1.6KNo $668
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Federico Coria
—Federico Coria $1.0KFederico Coria $170Federico Coria $5.5K
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.3KUnder $16Under $153
Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Lugano
—FC Lugano $2.1KFC Lugano $54FC Lugano $299
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $224No $249
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $17PFK CSKA Sofia $2.0K—PFK CSKA Sofia $43
Will SK Brann win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $806No $428No $100
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $270No $211No $107
FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $140Under $13Under $367
Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)
same side · consensus Páfos FC
—Páfos FC $419Páfos FC $13Páfos FC $21