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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpMadridTimeUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)49% (955–1002, n=1957)50% (20849–20545, n=41394)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$26K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #22PM monthly #515PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus59% (16 of 27 open)76% (192 of 254 open)46% (84 of 182 open)70% (30 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 100% of 26)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)17% (won 100% of 85)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)19% (won 100% of 94)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)59% (won 100% of 296)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

70 on the same side, 66 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpMadridTimeUpTheBlues
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $206KYes $41KNo $1.5K—
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $21KNo $32KNo $2.4K—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $12KUnder $3.2KOver $116—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $178Over $333Under $1.3K—
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $49No $403Yes $596—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43KNo $47KNo $1.6K—
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $38No $2.7KNo $145—
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Jan-Lennard Struff $22KCasper Ruud $43K——
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $11KUnder $934—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12KOver $7—
Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans
opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Kimmer Coppejans $11—Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $11K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8.6KUnder $4—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.5KOver $6—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.6KOver $4.9K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7.4KOver $278—
Will FC København win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $7.0KNo $32—
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtic FC
—Celtic FC $6.9KBeşiktaş JK $1—
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.5KYes $78—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.6K—Under $103—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.3KOver $22—
Spread: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus NK Celje
—NK Celje $4.5KSK Puntigamer Sturm Graz $40—
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
—KKS Lech Poznań $3.5KSport Lisboa e Benfica $941—
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.7K—No $72—
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.0KNo $1.7K—
Will AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $39—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.9KUnder $15—
Will FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.6KYes $357—
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.7KNo $169—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.8KOver $31—
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.7KUnder $19—
Getafe CF vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.5KYes $5—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $2.1KOlympique de Marseille $2—
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.1KNo $3—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KOver $507—
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.9KYes $49—
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.9KYes $3—
Getafe CF vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.7KOver $19—
Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sunderland AFC
—Sunderland AFC $1.5KGNK Dinamo Zagreb $89—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KOver $9—
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $54—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $652Over $137—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $683Under $87—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $713Under $34—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702—Over $5
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $557Over $121—
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $547Yes $116—
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: FC København O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $611Under $24—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $600No $11—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $354