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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | ndb1 | vtcchampion52 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (71–72, n=143) | 54% (208–175, n=383) | no settled market | 64% (9–5, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$252K | $232K | $4 | -$47K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #146 | PM monthly #139 |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (14 of 33 open) | 71% (138 of 195 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9% | 20% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI −19% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 100% (won 50% of 2) | 20% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 0% | 20% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 0% | 40% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | ndb1 | vtcchampion52 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo vs. Ball State opposite sides · consensus Ball State | Buffalo $118K | Ball State $1.5K | — | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $355 | Under $33K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Knicks $63 | Cavaliers $25K | — | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls opposite sides · consensus Spurs | Bulls $127 | Spurs $12K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2 | Over $9.7K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Nets $169 | Pelicans $7.5K | — | — |
| Rangers vs. Flames opposite sides · consensus Rangers | Rangers $710 | Flames $4.8K | — | — |
| UMass vs. Toledo opposite sides · consensus Toledo | Toledo $1.7K | UMass $975 | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Magic $87K | Magic $7.3K | — | — |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $789 | Under $43K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $15K | Raptors $14K | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-13.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Bucks $3.2K | Bucks $12K | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $3.9K | Bulls $5.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) same side · consensus Pacers | Pacers $244 | Pacers $7.8K | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $96 | Vikings $5.7K | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $162 | Thunder $4.8K | — | — |
| Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers same side · consensus East Tennessee State Buccaneers | East Tennessee State Buccaneers $96 | East Tennessee State Buccaneers $2.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $23 | Cavaliers $2.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-17.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Sacramento State $6 | Sacramento State $1.2K | — | — |