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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465bands1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (41–47, n=88)13% (1–7, n=8)62% (13–8, n=21)67% (354–171, n=525)
Consensus PnL-$411K-$48K-$16K-$102K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #133PM monthly #66PM monthly #43 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (12 of 19 open)67% (4 of 6 open)42% (5 of 12 open)58% (35 of 60 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21NFL −1 pts, n=116——
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%50% of 451 at avg 49¢, ROI −1%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)10% (won 22% of 46)9% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)36% (won 49% of 162)27% (won 100% of 3)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)45% (won 52% of 203)64% (won 100% of 7)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)9% (won 73% of 40)0%33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465bands1primmRN1
Spread: Western Michigan (-14.5)
same side · consensus Western Michigan
—Akron $2.1KAkron $112Akron $320
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $18K——Knicks $103
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6.2K——Under $138
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kent State
Kent State $222—Bowling Green $1.2K—
Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios
same side · consensus Tomas Barrios
Tomas Barrios $36K——Tomas Barrios $30K
Western Michigan vs. Akron
same side · consensus Western Michigan
Akron $20K——Akron $168
Bucks vs. Knicks
same side · consensus Knicks
Bucks $9.4K——Bucks $684
Kent State vs. Bowling Green: O/U 45.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $4.1KOver $28
Spread: Bowling Green (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bowling Green
——Bowling Green $3.6KBowling Green $370
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $1.2K——Bucks $913
Kent State vs. Bowling Green: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $141Under $577
Kent State vs. Bowling Green: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $75Over $411
Spread: Bowling Green (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bowling Green
——Bowling Green $151Bowling Green $37