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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465fantasy7788plustiRN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (71–72, n=143)56% (5–4, n=9)41% (16–23, n=39)66% (497–255, n=752)
Consensus PnL-$252K$421K$57K-$131K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #42PM monthly #792PM monthly #48 + pinned
Sides with the consensus41% (14 of 34 open)no open consensus position29% (2 of 7 open)60% (102 of 170 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54%100% of 17 at avg 49¢, ROI +53%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)20% (won 100% of 1)0%6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)20% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 100% of 7)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)60% (won 100% of 3)59% (won 100% of 10)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)0%0%51% (won 100% of 106)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465fantasy7788plustiRN1
Buffalo vs. Ball State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K——Over $2.7K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $12K—Knicks $1.8K—
UMass vs. Toledo
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
Toledo $1.7K——UMass $138
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
Toledo $520——UMass $1.3K
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $789——Over $65
Buffalo vs. Ball State
same side · consensus Ball State
Buffalo $121K——Buffalo $10K
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $15K——Raptors $450
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $9.9K——Raptors $607
Nets vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Pelicans
Nets $169——Nets $7.7K
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.4K—No $291—
Spread: Central Michigan (-17.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
Sacramento State $6——Sacramento State $1.6K
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $23——Cavaliers $352
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $178——Under $188
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
Knicks $63——Knicks $265
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $150——Bucks $25
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers
same side · consensus East Tennessee State Buccaneers
East Tennessee State Buccaneers $96——East Tennessee State Buccaneers $16
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $2——Under $42