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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1RobbbS-Works
Record (consensus markets)54% (4949–4167, n=9116)63% (1100–635, n=1735)83% (2420–482, n=2902)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$4.6M$95K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #110was PM monthly #996PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus44% (8 of 18 open)71% (67 of 94 open)80% (85 of 106 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136NFL −7 pts, n=158College Football −23 pts, n=36Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%83% of 1863 at avg 78¢, ROI +7%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)13% (won 14% of 196)7% (won 10% of 139)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)18% (won 40% of 283)6% (won 34% of 116)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)23% (won 58% of 348)12% (won 68% of 220)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)46% (won 94% of 710)75% (won 96% of 1388)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1RobbbS-Works
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $35No $2.4M
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $24KYes $635—
Will Jaylen Waddle have 674.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $560Yes $124—
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $15Yes $610—
Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $7Yes $211—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $350KNo $463—
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
same side · consensus No
Yes $10K—Yes $2.8K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $12KYes $1.0K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5K—No $173—
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $38Yes $696—
Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
—No $472No $241—
Will Jaxson Dart have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus No
—No $443No $261—
Will Jalen Hurts have 399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus No
—No $496No $158—
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $468Yes $32—
Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $12Yes $455—
Will Arvell Reese win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
—No $296No $145—
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $17—Yes $2—
Will Ohio State Buckeyes Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $6Yes $2—