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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.
| 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (1478–2246, n=3724) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 47% (13828–15322, n=29150) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.7M | $9.4M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #410 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 38% (18 of 47 open) | 54% (15 of 28 open) | 63% (42 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −8 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 40% of 3645 at avg 41¢, ROI −3% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 6% of 1261) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 36% of 915) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 28% (won 64% of 1037) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 89% of 432) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $645 | No $15K | — |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $25 | No $12K | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $897 | Yes $22K | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $161 | Yes $2.6K | — |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $310 | Yes $1.0K | — |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $925 | Yes $28 | — |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5 | Yes $132 | — |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $13 | Yes $27 | — |