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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (1108–1618, n=2726) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (14225–15839, n=30064) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.7M | $11.0M | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #410 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (27 of 59 open) | 83% (156 of 189 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (37 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −9 pts, n=137 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 40% of 3669 at avg 41¢, ROI −3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 6% of 1264) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 36% of 924) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 64% of 1047) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 88% of 434) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.