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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeeaBreakTheBankRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (310–15, n=325)50% (65–65, n=130)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$8.4M-$53K—
Tracked aswas PM monthly #410PM monthly #1PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus63% (29 of 46 open)87% (33 of 38 open)55% (43 of 78 open)69% (45 of 65 open)
Strongest topics
  • MMA +13 pts n=47, ROI +8%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicGolf −13 pts, n=58———
Settled positions, side won40% of 4281 at avg 41¢, ROI −3%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 6% of 1453)10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 35% of 1091)36% (won 98% of 212)22% (won 94% of 5704)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 64% of 1250)35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 99% of 9204)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 88% of 487)20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeeaBreakTheBankRN1UpTheBlues
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $32No $28K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.8KUnder $20K
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $643No $15K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.0KUnder $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $229
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $76
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $60No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $25K——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $182Yes $2.9K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $872
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.4KUnder $67
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $931Yes $29——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $41Under $801
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $145Yes $484——
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4Yes $99——
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11Yes $23——