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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (1484–2251, n=3735) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6450–5961, n=12411) | 47% (13886–15398, n=29284) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.7M | $9.4M | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #410 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (30 of 48 open) | 68% (23 of 34 open) | 74% (141 of 191 open) | 56% (15 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −8 pts, n=132 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 40% of 3645 at avg 41¢, ROI −3% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 6% of 1261) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 36% of 915) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 28% (won 64% of 1037) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 89% of 432) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $436 | No $15K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $14K | Over $1.5K |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $24 | No $12K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Over $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li opposite sides · consensus Anna Blinkova | — | — | Zongyu Li $2 | Anna Blinkova $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $754 | Yes $375 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $466 | No $529 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $831 | Yes $61 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $14 | Under $181 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7 | Over $28 |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze same side · consensus Alexandra Shubladze | — | — | Alexandra Shubladze $18K | Alexandra Shubladze $42K |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $897 | Yes $22K | — | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $143 | Yes $2.3K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | — | — | Quentin Halys $861 | Quentin Halys $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $9 | Over $1.5K |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $310 | Yes $1.0K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $102 | Under $1.1K |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $925 | Yes $28 | — | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $751 | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $702 | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $116 | Yes $161 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $174 | Under $42 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7 | Yes $164 | — | — |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $13 | Yes $27 | — | — |