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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Flaznorpjoseph00677LightParadox
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6461–6057, n=12518)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (1139–1247, n=2386)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$5.3M-$31K
Tracked as—PM monthly #10PM monthly #2was PM monthly #853
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (124 of 172 open)no open consensus position81% (43 of 53 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 668 at avg 70¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 100% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 100% of 139)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)15% (won 100% of 102)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)57% (won 100% of 378)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241Flaznorpjoseph00677LightParadox
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $583—Yes $4.2K
FC Goa vs. Bengaluru FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.0K—Under $479
Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $721—Over $132
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $238—Over $36
Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $226—No $4
Will Union Touarga Sports vs. US Amal Tiznit end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $186—Yes $5
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Kilian Feldbausch $105—Sumit Nagal $84
Will NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $165—No $18
Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $151—Yes $3
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Alexandra Eala $37K—Alexandra Eala $18K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
—Mai Hontama $8.1K—Mai Hontama $3.9K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Rinky Hijikata $2.3K—Rinky Hijikata $4.0K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jerome Kym
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
—Jerome Kym $5.3K—Jerome Kym $987
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9K—No $2.7K
Will Bengaluru FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8K—No $3
Will Montpellier HSC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9K—No $335
Villa Maria: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nicolas Kicker
same side · consensus Nicolas Kicker
—Nicolas Kicker $1.7K—Nicolas Kicker $308
SK Rapid vs. Wolfsberger AC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $120
Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $639—Under $486
Will Oxford City FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $12—No $880
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $454—No $4
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $197—Over $197
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $211—No $78
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $191—No $28
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $133—No $27
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $129—CD Pamplona $10
Will Cusco FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $47—No $3
Will FC Metz win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4—Yes $4