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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938BreakTheBankCORGIIsainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)39% (1476–2274, n=3750)46% (560–667, n=1227)62% (402–251, n=653)no settled market
Consensus PnL$34K$9.4M$288K—
Tracked asPM monthly #79PM monthly #2PM monthly #63—
Sides with the consensus58% (451 of 774 open)60% (15 of 25 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Economy +12 pts n=60, ROI −15%
  • Elections +6 pts n=188, ROI −15%
  • F1 +9 pts n=25, ROI −11%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=409———
Settled positions, side won49% of 1687 at avg 48¢, ROI −24%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 405 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%—
Entries under 30¢24% (won 4% of 402)11% (won 80% of 61)9% (won 92% of 36)—
Entries 30–50¢44% (won 43% of 745)35% (won 98% of 203)56% (won 99% of 225)—
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 56% of 114)35% (won 100% of 201)34% (won 100% of 137)—
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 98% of 426)20% (won 100% of 115)2% (won 100% of 7)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938BreakTheBankCORGIIsainttroplay
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $399No $765K——
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.4KNo $258K——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $148No $16K——
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $54No $12K——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $626No $1.0K——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $91Yes $22K——
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
Yes $820Yes $3.7K——
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $100Yes $3.4K——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $81Yes $2.6K——
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $608Yes $33——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $26Yes $516——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $474Yes $28——
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 10%-15%?
same side · consensus No
No $369No $48——