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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938beachboy4BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)40% (1529–2264, n=3793)no settled market45% (576–717, n=1293)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL-$224K—$7.3M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #75—PM monthly #3PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus69% (374 of 543 open)no open consensus position88% (22 of 25 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Elections +8 pts n=658, ROI −8%
  • Economy +12 pts n=63, ROI −15%
  • F1 +2 pts n=53, ROI −8%
not computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=418———
Settled positions, side won58% of 2233 at avg 56¢, ROI −21%—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 8% of 495)—10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 44% of 742)—35% (won 98% of 204)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 59% of 130)—35% (won 100% of 202)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 99% of 866)—20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938beachboy4BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $493—No $409K—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $240—Yes $79K—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $248—No $16K—
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $45—No $12K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $75—No $2.3K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $80—Yes $34K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $101—Yes $25K—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $47—Yes $13K—
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $138—Yes $4.7K—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $507—Yes $3.2K—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $81—Yes $2.6K—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $52—Yes $1.0K—
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $893—Yes $49—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $474—Yes $28—