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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | BreakTheBank | RN1 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 13% (522–3611, n=4133) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) |
| Consensus PnL | -$85K | $11.0M | $14.8M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #190 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (22 of 40 open) | 91% (150 of 165 open) | 57% (28 of 49 open) | 68% (49 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Entertainment −6 pts, n=163 | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 30% of 1983 at avg 31¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 63% (won 5% of 1258) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 44% of 173) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 58% of 137) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 21% (won 91% of 415) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.