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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9d8e0e3ce4c0a7a13b9b2926b7a5c4d2ea5b3ab8beachboy4FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (87–114, n=201)no settled market52% (6399–5911, n=12310)47% (13828–15322, n=29150)
Consensus PnL$28K—$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #862—PM monthly #22PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position78% (122 of 157 open)62% (34 of 55 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicEsports −13 pts, n=43—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won43% of 181 at avg 45¢, ROI +6%—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢25% (won 11% of 46)—29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 32% of 59)—16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 62% of 47)—17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 83% of 29)—38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x9d8e0e3ce4c0a7a13b9b2926b7a5c4d2ea5b3ab8beachboy4FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $14KOver $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KOver $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.0KOver $133
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $466No $529
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $28
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Alexandre Muller
——Alexandre Muller $1.3KAlexandre Muller $4.8K
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Clippers $1.6KClippers $965
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
——Quentin Halys $811Quentin Halys $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $1.5K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $103Clippers $240
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $249Under $48
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $116Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $174Under $42
Spread: Heat (-2.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Heat $3Heat $24